Articles & Posts

This section will over time contain all our substance-oriented articles and posts on LinkedIn. Medium, and elsewhere.

Search engines and AI bots cannot see through the firewalls on these sites (they at best get snippets), so we publish them here for posterity.


Recent

The Strategy Tic-Tac-Toe Method: Decomposing Corporate Performance Based on a Strategy Grid

Strategy Tic-Tac-Toe is a method explicitly rooted i economic theory that shows how value is a function of three strategic levers: Growth, productivity, and risk. All applied at country, company, and business unit levels.

PoluSim Performance Metrics: Cost–Time–Accuracy

Our PoluSim forecasting solution is widely appreciated by customers around the world. A key reason is that we optimize it around three enterprise performance metrics.

South Africa Economic Sentiment Analysis Using AI

This article shows how we perform semantic analysis of qualitative reports using automated parsing, scoring and weighting, leveraging a custom-trained AI model.

2025 in Review

As we approach the holidays, here’s a review of the past year. We made excellent progress across the board.

Global Retreat in Punta Cana 2025

The Tellusant Global Retreat is held in Punta Cana, Dominican Republic, this year. We have four days of work and relaxation at the ultra-luxury Live Aqua resort.

The Triple-A Method for Market Sizing

The Addressable – Available – Actual market sizing method provides a logical way to understand not only current market size, but also the latent market opportunities.

The Palmer Penguins and their Role in Business article

Penguins are an unlikely influence on management science, but this dataset has had a profound impact on emerging business practices.

The Emerging Significance of the Nordic-Baltic Eight

The NB8 region is tightly integrated economically and politically and has a GDP almost at Italy’s size.

The Horns of the Dilemma #2

Trade-offs between predictive, explanatory, and understandable models in statistical analysis.


Past

America’s Largest Enterprises in 2024

Tellusant’s second official America’s Largest Enterprises Ranking (ALERT) is out. It ranks the largest U.S. companies by value added (VA) — economist’s preferred way to measure size — and a better method than ranking by revenue like Fortune does.

Greenhouse Gas Productivity

Climate change is the problem of the century. How do countries differ in their ability to manage the greenhouse gases (GHG) that cause it?

The PoluSim Universe

Our PoluSim solution has expanded majorly since the launch in 2022. It now covers five applications within forecasting.

The Low Productivity of MBB

There is a sad state of affairs at the large management consulting firms—MBB. Not the quality of deliverables. The lack of productivity is the issue.

Sveriges exportmöjligheter i ett besvärligt handelsklimat

Hur ska ett exportberoende land som Sverige agera för att bibehålla och öka sin export? Artikeln ger ett djupt analytiskt perspektiv.

Elasticity Math

Why do we use logarithms when calculating elasticities? Here is the answer.

Tellusant at the Forefront of the AI Revolution

Tellusant has always been at the forefront of the AI revolution. It was the intent behind founding the company and abandoning management consulting.

The Future Is Math

The future of companies is math. They should have Chief Math Officers (CμO). Yet few CEOs outside tech now anything about math.

South Africa ICT Opportunities

There is a strong trend among global companies toward understanding markets at subnational levels.

Creating Robust Long-Term Forecasts

This short document describes how sophisticated and careful our long-term predictive models are and allows readers to glean under the hood.

FMCG Demand Drivers

We are often asked what levers can be pulled to stimulate demand. Is there a systematic taxonomy that can always can be used? Yes.

The Horns of the Dilemma #1

Trade-offs between generality, precision, and realism in strategy development.

Five Insights on Strategic Predictions

This pamphlet gives non-math CEOs and others a way to probe the reasoning behind predictions based on 15 topics.